Australian Natural Resources Atlas

Natural Resource Topics

Landscape Health In Australia

A rapid assessment of the relative condition of Australia's bioregions and subregions
Gethin Morgan
Environment Australia, 2000
ISBN 0 642 37119 9

2. Trend Attributes

Current rates of clearing of native vegetation

At the time of this assessment national maps of native vegetation clearing were only available for the period 1980 - 1995. They are the 1980 to 1990 Land Cover Change data (Graetz et al. 1995) and the 1990 - 1995 Agricultural Land Cover Change data set (Kitchin & Barson 1998). Clearing rates are readily available for all States and Territories up until 1995. Additional data is available for Tasmania until 1997 and for Queensland until the present.

This attribute is assessed only for the intensive use zone. Clearing rates were determined for each State where subregions extended across more than one jurisdiction.

Table 2: Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year (1990 to 1995) in the intensive use zone by jurisdiction.
State No. subregions >1000 ha/yr No. subregions >10000 ha/yr Total cleared ha/yr in intensive use zone % total ha/yr cleared in intensive use zone
New South Wales 3 0 19 483 5.5
Queensland 40 10 280 209 79.5
South Australia 0 0 285 0.1
Tasmania 1 0 4 345 1.2
Victoria 4 0 8 101 2.3
Western Australia 8 1 40 373 11.4
Total cleared ha/pa 325 997 192 072 352 798  

Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year between 1990 and 1995

The Agricultural Land Cover Change (Kitchin & Barson 1998) study did not identify clearing in native vegetation with a projective foliage cover less than 20%, such as open woodlands and shrublands and hence underestimated clearing in most States (Figures 65, 66; Table 2).

Figure 65: Area of woody native vegetation each year between 1990 and 1995 in the intensive use zone.

* Queensland data is from the Statewide Landcover and Trees Study (DNR 1999a). This revised Queensland data covers the period 1991 to 1995.

Figure 66: Area of woody native vegetation each year between 1990 and 1995 in the intensive use zone.

Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year between 1995 and 1997

Mapped information on broadscale clearing between 1995 and 1997 is only readily available for Queensland (DNR 1999b) and Tasmania (Kirkpatrick pers. comm.) (Figures 67, 68). Queensland Wet Tropics data on clearing is for the bioregion as a whole, and is not readily available by subregion.

New South Wales has data on clearing of vegetation with a projective foliage cover (density of tree crowns or what satellites can see/distinguish readily) greater than 20% for this period but the data was not available for this project. An estimate is possible for South Australia based on the area given under permit, but similar data was not readily available for Western Australia and Victoria. In South Australia an average of 1310ha clearing each year was permitted across the intensive use zone for this period (DEH 2000). Clearing in Western Australia, Victoria and the Northern Territory appears to have been of a similar magnitude. In New South Wales between 1996 and 1998 an average of 6280ha was cleared each year on the Moree 1:250000 map sheet alone (NSW NPWS 2000).

As with the 1990 to 1995 period, clearing in Queensland was mostly in subregions of the Great Artesian Basin (including subregions of the Brigalow Belt South, Mulga Lands and Desert Uplands bioregions), and the Brigalow Belt North. In Tasmania clearing was most extensive in the South East, and in the Northern Midlands bioregions.

Figure 67: Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year between 1995 and 1997 in the intensive use zone in Queensland and Tasmania.
Figure 68: Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year between 1995 and 1997 in the intensive use zone in Queensland and Tasmania.

Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year (1997 - 1999)

Broadacre clearing had largely ceased in most jurisdictions, except for Queensland, New South Wales, Tasmania and small areas in the Northern Territory between 1997 and 1999. In South Australia an average of 613 ha/yr was permitted to be cleared across the intensive use zone for this period (DEH 2000) and a similar order of magnitude would apply to Victoria and Western Australia. Mapped information on clearing for this period is largely limited to Queensland (DNR 2000) (Figures 69, 70).

As with the 1990 - 95 and 1995 - 97 periods, this clearing was mostly in subregions of the Great Artesian Basin and the Brigalow Belt North.

Figure 69: Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year between 1997 and 1999 in the intensive use zone in Queensland.
Figure 70: Area of woody native vegetation cleared each year between 1997 and 1999 in the intensive use zone in Queensland.

Change in annual rate of clearing between 1995-97 and 1997-99

The change in annual rate of clearing during this period can only be determined for Queensland, where regular and consistent mapping of the extent of native vegetation is available from the Statewide Landcover and Trees Study (DNR 1999a, 1999b, 2000). This attribute was derived by comparing the average annual clearing rates of the two periods 1995-97 and 1997-99 (Figures 71, 72).

Clearing occurred in 70 of 73 subregions for which data is available. The rate of clearing was increasing in 40 of these, including almost all of the subregions in the Queensland part of the Murray - Darling basin, the southern subregions of the Brigalow Belt North bioregion, the Desert Uplands bioregion, and the acacia woodlands along the eastern margin of the Mitchell Grass Downs bioregion. Clearing was also increasing in the Cape River Hills and Townsville Coastal Plains subregions in the far north of the Brigalow Belt North bioregion.

Figure 71: Change in annual rate of clearing 1995-97 and 1997-99 in the intensive use zone in Queensland.
Figure 72: Change in annual rate of clearing 1995-97 and 1997-99 in the intensive use zone in Queensland.

Trends in dryland salinity

Predicted area of subregion affected by dryland salinity in 2050

The national assessment of dryland salinity extent compiled by the Audit (see extent of dryland salinity risk or hazard p. 21) produced predictions of the extent of high dryland salinity risk or hazard for 2050. This coverage was intersected by subregions to examine the implications of 2050 predictions for specific subregional landscapes. (Figures 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80).

The major part of this predicted increase in extent will be in south-west Western Australia. where

Figure 73: Percentage of subregion predicted to have high dryland salinity risk or hazard in 2050 in the intensive use zone.
Figure 74: Percentage of subregion predicted to have high dryland salinity risk or hazard in 2050 in the intensive use zone.

By 2050 almost 30% of the total area of the intensive use zone in Western Australia is predicted to be at high risk of dryland salinity.

Victoria is predicted to be the State next worst affected, with five of its subregions expected to have a high risk of dryland salinity over more than 30% of their area.

Other subregions predicted to have a high risk of dryland salinity will be all those of the Naracoorte Coastal Plain bioregion near the mouth of the Murray River, and the Upper Slopes subregion of the New South Wales South Western Slopes bioregion.

Figure 75: Percentage of native vegetation in subregion predicted to have high dryland salinity risk or hazard in 2050 in the intensive use zone.

Predicted area of remnant vegetation affected by dryland salinity in 2050

The predicted extent of dryland salinity risk or hazard can also be used with the current extent of native vegetation to predict the extent of native vegetation likely to be affected by increasing dryland soil salinity. Analysis for this attribute assumes there will be no significant changes in land use or in the extent of native vegetation between now and 2050.

It is predicted that by 2050:

The greatest areas of native vegetation at risk from high dryland salinity by 2050 are in south-west Western Australia.

Figure 76: Percentage of native vegetation in subregion predicted to have high dryland salinity risk or hazard in 2050 in the intensive use zone.

Salinity trends in subregions and remnant vegetation

The trend in high dryland salinity risk or hazard between 2000 and 2050 for subregions as a whole, and for the remaining native vegetation, is similar.

Figure 77: Trend in high dryland salinity risk or hazard in subregion between 2000 and 2050 in the intensive use zone.
Figure 78: Trend in high dryland salinity risk or hazard in native vegetation between 2000 and 2050 in the intensive use zone.
Figure 79: Trend in high dryland salinity risk or hazard in subregion between 2000 and 2050 in the intensive use zone.
Figure 80: Trend in high dryland salinity risk or hazard in native vegetation between 2000 and 2050 in the intensive use zone.

Inappropriate fire regimes

Fire is clearly an issue of national significance for biodiversity. Analysis is required at the scale of individual tenures, ecosystems and species. Recent studies in northern Australia indicate the urgent need for this analysis (Russel-Smith 2001).

Perceptions of change in landscape health due to altered fire regimes differ greatly between experts. Species-level information is required as an indicator, but is lacking for much of Australia. Expert assessment alone was considered to be too variable for spatial representation. Some general observations about the potential effects of fire are provided to give insight into the major issues.

Northern Australia

In the dry and wet/dry tropics, issues largely relate to:

Many fires occur in the late dry season and are consequently very hot, killing young perennials. In better watered areas, grass density increases at the expense of woody and fire sensitive speciescompounded by fires occurring annually or biennially. In drier or sandier areas, a net loss of organic matter results in an associated decline in ecosystem productivity. Where ecosystems are steadily invaded by introduced pasture species (e.g. buffel grass) a spiralling loss of biodiversity due to increasing fire intensities and species competition can occur.

In the more heavily grazed parts of the tropics (e.g. the northern part of the intensive use zone in Queensland and in the arid pastoral zone of Western Australia) climatic variation, the absence of sufficient ground cover to carry a fire and a move away from using fire in land management is enabling extensive regeneration of woody species. The denser shrub and lower tree stories further reduce the amount of grasses, compounding the degradation. In parts of the intensive use zone in Queensland the increasing density of woody species is a significant factor stimulating tree clearing.

Southern Australia

In the main cropping and grazing areas, fire is rarely used intentionally as a landscape management tool. Fire dependent species, and ecosystem health in general, are being adversely affected. Where the native vegetation remains as small and isolated remnants, fire cannot readily be used as a management tool due to weed invasion and potential effects on small and often stressed populations of plants and animals. Where fire is intentionally used for management (most commonly in conservation reserves and forestry reserves) there is often disagreement over appropriate regimes. In many cases a risk reduction objective for fire management requires repetitive and frequent cool burns, although some ecosystems (e.g. heaths) reach maximum biodiversity after at least a decade without fire. In some ecosystems periodic crown fire is desirable (e.g. to control mistletoe and facilitate the creation of tree hollows through branch dieback). Responses of individual species vary greatly too (e.g. some plant species depend on seedling production to maintain populations; where fires occur at rates more frequent than the period they require to reach maturity, these plants face a high probability of being loss from the community).

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